Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota
Summit League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#258
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#285
Pace73.3#74
Improvement+2.8#71

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#288
First Shot-2.8#264
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#270
Layup/Dunks-1.9#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#257
Freethrows-1.8#302
Improvement+3.9#32

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#217
First Shot-2.9#258
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#53
Layups/Dunks-3.6#320
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#29
Freethrows-0.7#228
Improvement-1.0#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 2.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 31.0 - 7.01.0 - 11.0
Quad 47.0 - 7.08.0 - 18.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 296   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 63-60 48%     1 - 0 -2.2 -13.1 +10.9
  Nov 14, 2018 7   @ Kentucky L 58-96 1%     1 - 1 -15.8 -4.9 -10.3
  Nov 24, 2018 101   @ Utah Valley L 68-74 11%     1 - 2 +1.6 -1.2 +2.7
  Nov 27, 2018 241   @ Montana St. L 76-81 36%     1 - 3 -6.9 -5.9 -0.8
  Dec 01, 2018 345   Idaho L 54-67 87%     1 - 4 -31.1 -25.3 -6.8
  Dec 05, 2018 168   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 56-70 23%     1 - 5 -11.8 -20.6 +10.8
  Dec 09, 2018 296   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 83-72 69%     2 - 5 +0.2 +3.2 -3.3
  Dec 18, 2018 27   @ Marquette L 66-92 3%     2 - 6 -9.8 -8.5 +2.3
  Dec 22, 2018 164   @ Northern Iowa L 62-64 22%     2 - 7 +0.5 -1.8 +2.1
  Dec 29, 2018 182   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-84 44%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -15.1 -14.1 +0.5
  Jan 03, 2019 286   @ Oral Roberts L 72-83 44%     2 - 9 0 - 2 -15.2 -5.1 -10.3
  Jan 05, 2019 304   @ Denver W 80-59 51%     3 - 9 1 - 2 +15.2 +4.9 +10.9
  Jan 10, 2019 162   Nebraska Omaha L 91-92 39%     3 - 10 1 - 3 -3.9 +8.6 -12.5
  Jan 12, 2019 293   Western Illinois W 71-65 68%     4 - 10 2 - 3 -4.6 -4.5 +0.0
  Jan 16, 2019 92   South Dakota St. L 74-78 22%     4 - 11 2 - 4 -1.4 -2.2 +0.8
  Jan 19, 2019 195   @ North Dakota St. L 65-67 27%     4 - 12 2 - 5 -1.3 -4.6 +3.2
  Jan 23, 2019 226   South Dakota L 56-70 53%     4 - 13 2 - 6 -20.4 -17.6 -3.3
  Feb 01, 2019 293   @ Western Illinois W 74-73 47%     5 - 13 3 - 6 -4.0 -3.2 -0.9
  Feb 03, 2019 162   @ Nebraska Omaha L 72-90 22%     5 - 14 3 - 7 -15.4 -4.7 -10.4
  Feb 06, 2019 195   North Dakota St. L 70-74 47%     5 - 15 3 - 8 -8.8 -7.4 -1.4
  Feb 09, 2019 92   @ South Dakota St. L 55-80 10%     5 - 16 3 - 9 -16.9 -18.1 +1.8
  Feb 16, 2019 286   Oral Roberts W 85-73 65%     6 - 16 4 - 9 +2.2 +3.0 -0.9
  Feb 23, 2019 304   Denver W 81-63 71%     7 - 16 5 - 9 +6.6 -0.1 +6.5
  Feb 28, 2019 182   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 88-82 25%     8 - 16 6 - 9 +7.5 +9.3 -2.1
  Mar 02, 2019 226   @ South Dakota L 63-78 32%     8 - 17 6 - 10 -15.8 -10.2 -5.6
  Mar 09, 2019 162   Nebraska Omaha L 76-81 30%     8 - 18 -5.2 +1.1 -6.4
Projected Record 8.0 - 18.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%